Hope Ain’t Just a Town in Arkansas


Mike Huckabee is hoping (too obvious) looking for an opportunity to be the next “Man from Hope”. It’s not looking too bad for him now, and I find that unfortunate. The first problem is that I predicted (completely pulled from my hindquarters) that Romney would win the nomination. And, by the way, I’ll stick by that prediction. I still don’t know enough to prognosticate, but having the benefit of a few months of developments and some polls, I still think he has the best shot at it. The second problem is that I believe, strongly, that Mike Huckabee has the best chance in the general, against the Democrat. So, his surge has me a bit worried.

We’ll be hearing a lot about “hope” this campaign season. GWB is even getting into the act with his 1-800-995-HOPE act. Ha ha.

But Barack Obama called dibs on the word first with his book title, “The Audacity of Hope”, which is already being vamped upon in every imaginable way… from “the Naivite of Hope”, to the “Audacity of False Hope” to “the Audacity of Hype”…

Let me just say this… as much as I fear Huckabee, who reminds me a lot, personality wise, of the first “Man from Hope”, I would love to see the presidential debates should “Audacity” meet “Man From”. I couldn’t dream of two more likeable and eloquent opponents.

Furthermore, I’ll add that I’ve decided finally that Obama is my candidate. That’s not to say I am in love with him. The episode with Donnie McClurkin certainly cooled whatever Obama fever I may have originally had. He hasn’t done a lot recently to show leadership and wisdom. In fact, I like Chris Dodd better - I just don’t harbor any hope illusions that he can break into the pack. Weirdly, it is Dodd who has shown leadership in the Senate during this campaign - not the frontrunners. But Hillary Clinton has actively worked to alienate me and much of the Democratic base, burnishing her neo-con credentials at the expense of reasonable policy. A friend (hi Jadarm!) suggested to me that she has to appear aggressive to avoid appearing weak. I suppose there is some truth to that - a fair number of Americans confuse aggressiveness with strength. But this is a primary election, damn it, and I’ll still take reasonable policy over chest-beating until I have to choose between two chest-beaters.

John Edwards - and here is where I’ll lose many of the “netroots” if they happen upon this blog - has some great policy ideals, but I can’t trust him with power because he seems to me to be completely lacking in wisdom. What “wisdom” is, and why I feel he lacks it, are subjects for another day. The best I can do to explain that in this post is that he gives every appearance of being an idealistic follower rather than a realistic leader. To me. Put more bluntly - I see him as the Democrats’ George W. Bush - the guy who lets ideology (progressive in this case, rather than regressive) supercede rationality. He might reform some of our current problems, but I think he would do for liberalism in the long run what GWB has done for conservatism - make it unpalatable.

So, my hopes feelings of comfort and optimism lie with Obama. I just hope wish that, should he be the nominee, he takes the right stands in the right way to win the general election, and that he then governs well. To get about as mushy as I can get about the guy… it will be an honor to one day say that I voted for the first African American President of the United States.

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Reader Comments

Very nice post.

I think you’re pretty right on with Romney. Huckabee is on a roll right now but it probably won’t last. Giuliani (Mr. 9-11) is everyone’s worst nightmare. And Paul (taps heart)…not gonna happen unless we see a miracle. Thompson and McCain are dead in the water. McCain should have been the 2000 nominee (and 2008 for that matter) but his current campaign is a pathetic shadow of its 2000-self. And everyone knows it but him. So sad.

The Democratic side remains unclear. Clinton (everyone’s 2nd worst nightmare) will win New Hampshire. Obama will probably get Iowa. If Edwards gets South Carolina, Clinton will get the nomination. If Clinton wins South Carolina, Clinton will get the nomination. If Obama wins South Carolina, it’s a dead heat between Clinton and Obama.

I expect major regrouping from the Clinton campaign after Christmas. And of course, everything’s still open until Iowa.

Personally, I’m bummed that Biden isn’t getting a better showing. But I’ll take anyone over Hillary.

The crop of candidates on both sides sure don’t have many people enthused, do they?

The ones that are making the gains are the ones that people know the least about (Obama, Huckabee), which in my opinion is the primary reason that they’re moving. Once people get wind of the negatives on candidates - and with oppo research, that will ALWAYS happen - then the sails no longer have quite as much wind. I was for Guiliani from the get-go, but I’ll admit that my support has wavered due mainly to his personal stuff (while in office, it most certainly DOES matter). If the election were held today, I really don’t know who I’d vote for. The only things for sure right now are the people that I most certainly do NOT want to be president: Edwards, Romney, Clinton, Paul.

There has got to be some way to get back to shorter campaigns….make the first primaries in the late spring & let the summer be the campaign season; I’m sick to death of all of them and I’ve gone out of my way to avoid politics (Haven’t watched a single episode of Hannity/Colmes all year, no Hardball since the summer, no Situation Room all year). Ugh!

I go back to my old canard; term limits would be the best thing for both parties and the country, so we can get a fresh set of faces every few years & have people with ‘real world’ experience representing us.

Had a guy tell me this weekend that there was no way in hell Obama could win a general election. He was furious about the Democrats even considering Obama because he was unelectable and would lose by a landslide.

Meanwhile, Oprah is doing all she can do.

I’ll vote for Ron Paul in the primaries. It is the least I can do.